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From 2024 to the end of the year, with the gradual development of the New Year's market, how will the market style be interpreted? Will there be a switch between large and small disks?From 2024 to the end of the year, with the gradual development of the New Year's market, how will the market style be interpreted? Will there be a switch between large and small disks?For the reason of the market style deduction, Zhao Xi, the investment director of Tuopai Fund, told the First Financial Reporter that since the macroeconomic data has not improved significantly, it is difficult for the macro economy to support the core assets, and most investors' sense of the whole economy is not high enough. Although the weighted blue chips and fund heavyweight stocks have valuation advantages, they lack rising logic. In this context, hot money and new retail investors have repeatedly speculated on the emerging science and technology around the policy.

What are the reasons why more resilient blue chips are not popular in the market? Many people in the industry interviewed by reporters believe that the macro-economy has not yet recovered significantly, and the uncertainty of the pace of monetary and fiscal policies next year has led to the fact that although the weighted blue-chip stocks have a low valuation advantage, they have not obtained the unanimous expectation of funds.SDIC Securities Research Report pointed out that from the perspective of capital, this phenomenon (micro-disk stocks hit a record high) is naturally easy to explain: the core of the incremental fund group is retail hot money, and the pricing power is not in the hands of institutions.Compared with small-cap stocks, Ning combination and Mao index seem to be "abandoned" by the market. Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited (300750.SZ) went out of the independent market, rising by 68.21% during the year, while Enjie (002812.SZ) fell by over 30%. The Mao index rose by 10.85% during the year, the share price of Oriental Fortune (300059.SZ) doubled, and Zhifei Bio (300122.SZ) fell by nearly 50%.

According to the research report released by SDIC Securities on December 8, if we want to treat this wave of "new year's market" with "innovation", it is necessary for the US dollar index to clearly turn from strong to weak and the fiscal expenditure to enter a clear expansion cycle. The pricing of risk preference turning to fundamentals may have to be further confirmed in the second quarter of next year (strong dollar turning to weak dollar+stimulus policy effectively reversing domestic demand). Looking back at history, after M1 rebounded from the bottom for two consecutive months, the market sector represented by consumption and pro-cyclical sectors will start pricing around fundamentals, which also means that if the growth rate of M1 continues to rebound in November, this extreme differentiation pricing model of large and small markets is expected to be gradually reversed.Micro-disk stocks hit a new high. When will the market style return to the fundamentals after the significant differentiation of large and small disks?Micro-disk stocks continued their strong performance this year. Since September 24th, the index of micro-disk stocks has risen by 61.4%, while only one of the 402 stocks in the sector has fallen, with an average increase of 44.03%, which greatly outperformed the indexes of Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 and Shanghai 50. The cumulative increase of 19 stocks including Renzhi (002629.SZ), Shandong Huapeng (603021.SH), Xingtu Xinke (688081.SH) and Lianxiang (603272.SH) exceeded 80%.